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. >> a new national washington post poll of likely voters shows president obama polling at 49% and mitt romney at 47% but among likely voters in the swing states, president obama leads mitt romney by 11 points. 52%-41%. tonight the forecast is president obama will within 320 ele electoral college votes. joining me now is steve and karen. karen, the expectation game has gotten really out of hand this time. finally chris christie, for whatever reason, just kind of gave up and stated the obvious and said well, of course. you know, mitt romney has to be the big winner on this first debate. >> well, i think he was like look, let me keep my credibility in check because he's been watching what has happened to congressman ryan over the course of this campaign. but i think each man has a different thing they need to accomplish. i think for governor romney he needs to have a strong performan performance. it's not just about one performance for him. his problem is a lack of consistency. he's got to have a good wednesday, thursday, friday, saturday. every day to the election. if you see him give on
. >> a new national washington post poll of likely voters shows president obama polling at 49% and mitt romney at 47% but among likely voters in the swing states, president obama leads mitt romney by 11 points. 52%-41%. tonight the forecast is president obama will within 320 ele electoral college votes. joining me now is steve and karen. karen, the expectation game has gotten really out of hand this time. finally chris christie, for whatever reason, just kind of gave up and stated the...
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Oct 1, 2012
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same score in the new politico poll. obama by two, 49%/47%. "the new york times" this weekend reported on the two campaigns' ongoing debate preps. here is what they said about romney's prep. quote, mr. romney's team has concluded that the debates are about creating moments and has equipped him with a series of zingers he's memorized and has been practicing on aides since august. bob shrum, you have been on that particular role, preparing candidates for debate. what do you make of romney, a rather stiff customer to begin with, coming off as sort of a henny youngman or whatever, some sort of a don rickles with some zingers. i don't think of him as a zinger kind of guy where obama is expected to be left helpless. what do you make of that strategy? >> first of all, if you had it, you wouldn't announce it. it's kind of stupid. >> why are they leaking it? >> i don't know. because they're trying to hold onto their people, they're undisciplined, i have no idea. number two, zingers don't exist in a vacuum. it's not just coming up with some funny lines.
same score in the new politico poll. obama by two, 49%/47%. "the new york times" this weekend reported on the two campaigns' ongoing debate preps. here is what they said about romney's prep. quote, mr. romney's team has concluded that the debates are about creating moments and has equipped him with a series of zingers he's memorized and has been practicing on aides since august. bob shrum, you have been on that particular role, preparing candidates for debate. what do you make of...
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brand-new nbc news/"wall street journal" mariss poll shows president obama with a seven-point lead in new hampshire, two-point leads in nevada and north carolina. virginia could be the bellwether. both the president and mitt romney campaigned there yesterday, and the latest poll shows the president with with a slight edge. let me bring in perry bacon and susan. good to see both of you. good morning. >> good morning. >> i'm sure you saw what charles cr krauthhammer wrote this morning. make the case and go large. it might just work and it's not too late. what do you think, susan? does mitt romney need to take risks and go big? >> one thing is for sure. the debate this week in denver
brand-new nbc news/"wall street journal" mariss poll shows president obama with a seven-point lead in new hampshire, two-point leads in nevada and north carolina. virginia could be the bellwether. both the president and mitt romney campaigned there yesterday, and the latest poll shows the president with with a slight edge. let me bring in perry bacon and susan. good to see both of you. good morning. >> good morning. >> i'm sure you saw what charles cr krauthhammer wrote...
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polls show him trailing president obama by as much as 11 points. the latest poll puts the score at 54 to 43. is pennsylvania in play? let's bring in former pennsylvania governor ed rendell who knows pennsylvania like no other. welcome. >> hi, alex. >> we want to talk about the fund-raiser. it's been on the governor's schedule for a while. he's not been in your state campaigning since mid-summer, so why now? >> i don't think they intended to have this rally, but i think the pennsylvania state republican party pressured them into having a rally. they're not playing in pennsylvania right now, and unless the polls improve significantly, i don't think they'll play much at this point. president obama's been very, very popular in the southeast, in the philadelphia suburbs and the city itself. it's a real tough hurdle to overcome. but interestingly, ohio, pennsylvania, florida, none of them according to the time's poll looked promising and no candidate can win without winning at least one of those three states. >> as a political veteran, you know well it's
polls show him trailing president obama by as much as 11 points. the latest poll puts the score at 54 to 43. is pennsylvania in play? let's bring in former pennsylvania governor ed rendell who knows pennsylvania like no other. welcome. >> hi, alex. >> we want to talk about the fund-raiser. it's been on the governor's schedule for a while. he's not been in your state campaigning since mid-summer, so why now? >> i don't think they intended to have this rally, but i think the...
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the bad news is, president obama's number hasn't moved. so the bounce that he got into the 49, 50% range has held where it's governor romney's number that is fluid. are you one of those that believe that 49, 50% is the winning range? so that your next job, you're in the race, then the next job is you have to figure out how to peel votes away. >> you look at this in the context of where we are. there's five-plus weeks. there's a lot that can happen in five weeks. there's three presidential debates. and there's probably two or three hundred million ads to be dumped on the public. things change in presidential campaigns quite actively in september and early october. it's now that you start looking at serious numbers. the carter/reagan race didn't change until the last few weeks. there's a close parallel between this and carter/reagan. >> let me ask you about new hampshire's poll. i'm sure you didn't miss it. 15-point deficit for mitt romney. i'm guessing you'll argue with some parts. >> i'm not going to argue with it at all. do you really bel
the bad news is, president obama's number hasn't moved. so the bounce that he got into the 49, 50% range has held where it's governor romney's number that is fluid. are you one of those that believe that 49, 50% is the winning range? so that your next job, you're in the race, then the next job is you have to figure out how to peel votes away. >> you look at this in the context of where we are. there's five-plus weeks. there's a lot that can happen in five weeks. there's three presidential...
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a new "washington post" abc poll shows president obama with a huge edge among registered voters when asked whom they expect to win the debate. joining me from las vegas is jen saki, traveling press secretary for the obama campaign. >> great to be here. >> hi. good to talk to you from debate camp. >> yes. >> how is the mood out there? is this a walk in the park since "the washington post," the people polled by "the washington post" seems to think the president has this thing knocked. >> well, you know, we don't pay attention to all those polls. look, i think the romney campaign has been clear for months they're going to use this, pull out every zinger in the book to use this as a game changing performance. that's what they think they need, that's what they expect mitt romney to deliver on on wednesday evening. as the president's preparing over the next couple days in lovely las vegas he's looking at it differently. he thinks this is an opportunity to speak directly to the american people as he did at convention about his vision for moving the country forward. that's who our audience i
a new "washington post" abc poll shows president obama with a huge edge among registered voters when asked whom they expect to win the debate. joining me from las vegas is jen saki, traveling press secretary for the obama campaign. >> great to be here. >> hi. good to talk to you from debate camp. >> yes. >> how is the mood out there? is this a walk in the park since "the washington post," the people polled by "the washington post" seems to...
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shows that among likely voters president obama polls at 49% and mitt romney at 46%. tonight, night silver of the new york times blog, forecasts that on november 6 obama will win 318 votes and mitt romney will win 219. and president obama's chance of winning the election is now at 84.7%. joining me now john hiel man and krystal ball. when i see him out at hoover dam today, i think we are going to hear some sort of rachel like ode to hoover dam in the debate and the power of federal infrastructure spending and what it can do to this country and the economy. >> i think you're absolutely right. that is the core message. it's we're in it together versus you're on your own. and to that point, mitt romney still has never really come up with a coherent explanation, because there isn't one, for his comments about the 47%. so as they're talking about the zingers he's been preparing for this debate and how he's been practicing for months, there's no verbal strik to get you out of that box. and there's also nothing you can do to avoid the fact that your positions have changed so
shows that among likely voters president obama polls at 49% and mitt romney at 46%. tonight, night silver of the new york times blog, forecasts that on november 6 obama will win 318 votes and mitt romney will win 219. and president obama's chance of winning the election is now at 84.7%. joining me now john hiel man and krystal ball. when i see him out at hoover dam today, i think we are going to hear some sort of rachel like ode to hoover dam in the debate and the power of federal...
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rural whites prefer ahmadinejad to obama. curious how you missed that one poll. anyway, guess where the headline originated? "the onion." america's favorite source for fake news. another "onion" today. florida to experiment with 600-lever voting machine. >> i'm barack obama and i party. ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ >>> that guy behind the mask is one hell of a dancer. that performance is suitably titled obama works -- it. four justices now are in their 70s and the next president of the united states could reshape the balance of the court for decades to come, maybe 40 or 50 years. that's ahead. [ woman ] ring. ring. progresso. your new light creamy potato with bacon & cheese soup says it's 100 calories a serving. that's right. in what world do potatoes, bacon and cheese add up to 100 calories? your world. my world. ♪ [ whispers ] real bacon... creamy cheese... [ whispers ] 100 calories... say it again... [ whispers ] 100 calories... ma'am, hello? ma'am [ male announcer ] progresso. you gotta taste this soup. like in a special ops mission? you'd spot movement, gather intellig
rural whites prefer ahmadinejad to obama. curious how you missed that one poll. anyway, guess where the headline originated? "the onion." america's favorite source for fake news. another "onion" today. florida to experiment with 600-lever voting machine. >> i'm barack obama and i party. ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ >>> that guy behind the mask is one hell of a dancer. that performance is suitably titled obama works -- it. four justices now are in their 70s and the next...
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gallup poll, rural whites prefer ahmadinejad to obama. anyway, guess where the headline original yated, the onion, america's favorite source for fake news. another onion news item today, florida to experiment with new 600 lever voting machine. >>> finally, the latest music and dance tribute to president obama. this is all over the place literally. >> i'm barack obama and i party. ♪ ♪ >> that guy behind the mask is one hell of a dancer. that's suited obama works it. >>> up next, what's the biggest thing at stake in this election? it might be the supreme court when you think about it. four justices now are in their 70s, and the next president of the united states could reshape the balance of the court for decades to come. maybe 40 or 50 years, and that's ahead. you're watching "hardball," the place for politics. >>> i'm sue herera with you be your cnbc market wrap. the month and quarter ends with gains but for the day the dow is off 49 points, the s&p fell about 6, and the nasdaq lower by 20 points. >>> facebook bucked the losing trend
gallup poll, rural whites prefer ahmadinejad to obama. anyway, guess where the headline original yated, the onion, america's favorite source for fake news. another onion news item today, florida to experiment with new 600 lever voting machine. >>> finally, the latest music and dance tribute to president obama. this is all over the place literally. >> i'm barack obama and i party. ♪ ♪ >> that guy behind the mask is one hell of a dancer. that's suited obama works it....
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according to "the washington post"/abc news poll, 49% say they would vote for obama and 47% for romney. those numbers are unmoved from early last month. >> so nationally we're in the margin of error in this poll. >> all right. in the critical swing states, the president's lead grows to 11 points among likely voters. 52% to 41%. in ohio, a state where early in-person voting begins tomorrow -- >> wow! >> -- a new "columbus dispatch" poll shows the president leading 51%-42%. in august that same poll had the two candidates tied at 45%. >> at 45%. if you want to know how badly things have gone over the past month for mitt romney, how bad september was for mitt romney, just look at the "the columbus dispatch" poll. he's lost nine points in ohio. it's absolutely critical that he does change the narrative, he does turn things around. you know, we always talk about -- i've always talked about 1980, the final weekend, it's tied between reagan and carter. this isn't 1980 anymore. he's got to kick start it now because let's say he wins the final two weeks. he still loses the election. you can't ju
according to "the washington post"/abc news poll, 49% say they would vote for obama and 47% for romney. those numbers are unmoved from early last month. >> so nationally we're in the margin of error in this poll. >> all right. in the critical swing states, the president's lead grows to 11 points among likely voters. 52% to 41%. in ohio, a state where early in-person voting begins tomorrow -- >> wow! >> -- a new "columbus dispatch" poll shows the...
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the latest fox news national polls shows president obama up a by 5 points. that's the fox news poll. the gallup daily tracking poll had been close. now gallup shows president obama up by 6. even the quite ostentatiously republican leaning rasmussen poll gives president obama a 1-point lead nationally. in the states that matter, the obama campaign is ahead. things could change. we've got the debate starting next week, there's long way to go, it's politics, anything could happen. but right now the obama campaign is solidly and consistently ahead. tactically what that means is the obama campaign has to convert being ahead in people's preferences to actual votes. since they are clearly ahead, a good time to get those votes cast is right now. because thanks to early voting, people are casting ballots right now. so this lead that they have now in the polls can be banked. it can be turned into actual votes while they're still ahead, even if they don't end up being this far ahead by election day. iowa became the first swing state in the nation where voters are actua
the latest fox news national polls shows president obama up a by 5 points. that's the fox news poll. the gallup daily tracking poll had been close. now gallup shows president obama up by 6. even the quite ostentatiously republican leaning rasmussen poll gives president obama a 1-point lead nationally. in the states that matter, the obama campaign is ahead. things could change. we've got the debate starting next week, there's long way to go, it's politics, anything could happen. but right now...
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well, we just had the fox poll that says obama is ahead by five. this is "hardball," the place for politics. ♪ you do ♪ something to me ♪ that nobody else could do stop! stop! stop! come back here! humans -- we are beautifully imperfect creatures living in an imperfect world. that's why liberty mutual insurance has your back with great ideas like our optional better car replacement. if your car is totaled, we give you the money to buy one a model year newer. call... and ask one of our insurance experts about it today. hello?! we believe our customers do their best out there in the world, and we do everything we can to be there for them when they need us. [car alarm blaring] call now and also ask about our 24/7 support and service. call... and lock in your rate for 12 months today. liberty mutual insurance. responsibility. what's your policy? i was talking to my best friend. i told her i wasn't feeling like myself... i had pain in my pelvic area... and bleeding that wasn't normal for me. she said i had to go to the doctor. turned out i had ute
well, we just had the fox poll that says obama is ahead by five. this is "hardball," the place for politics. ♪ you do ♪ something to me ♪ that nobody else could do stop! stop! stop! come back here! humans -- we are beautifully imperfect creatures living in an imperfect world. that's why liberty mutual insurance has your back with great ideas like our optional better car replacement. if your car is totaled, we give you the money to buy one a model year newer. call... and ask one...
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new polls out from quinnipiac university show president obama with a narrow lead heading into wednesday's debate. president obama leading 49% among likely voters. but when it comes to women, president obama has stretched a lead to 18 points, 56% to 38%. the gap tightens when it comes to which candidate would better handle the economy, just one point separates them. when asked who would win tomorrow night's debate, the president nearly doubles mitt romney 54% to 28%. that doesn't mean anything. with us from denver, host of "the daily rundown," chuck todd standing in the dark in denver. chuck, break down the polls for us. >> well, you know, it's been interesting about him. we've got a new poll that comes out tonight. what i've thought interesting about the polls in the last few days, quinnipiac, cnn, they all show the same thing. the president's number, the bounce he got out of the convention, it has not deflated. he is staying in the 49%, 50%. >> granholm. >> the fluidity is in romney's number. romney is anywhere, instead of sitting in the single digits, instead of the low 40s, he's moved
new polls out from quinnipiac university show president obama with a narrow lead heading into wednesday's debate. president obama leading 49% among likely voters. but when it comes to women, president obama has stretched a lead to 18 points, 56% to 38%. the gap tightens when it comes to which candidate would better handle the economy, just one point separates them. when asked who would win tomorrow night's debate, the president nearly doubles mitt romney 54% to 28%. that doesn't mean anything....
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a new ppp poll has the president up by four. in colorado a new ppp poll has obama up by six. that's powerful, 51%, 45% in colorado. a four-point lead in north carolina. 49%, 45%. that's the poll that tends to lean republican. it's leaning democrat in this case. we'll be right back. >>> do you really think this will be going better if you'd nominated someone else? who? rick santorum? are you thinking you missed the boat with newt gingrich? if you think i'm unrelatable, check out callista gingrich. she looks like a character from "mars attacks." at least my hair moves. seth, look at this. >> that's very nice. >> it's better than nice. it's freaking awesome. >> okay. >> you guys wish ron paul was still running? guess what, he probably is because he's a lunatic who doesn't understand how voting works. >> wouldn't it be great if this was ann romney? welcome back to "hardball." that was the new "snl" cast member, kate mckinnon, playing here. playing an exasperated ann romney. mitt romney has taken a beating lately, but really would republicans rather have rick perry as their nomine
a new ppp poll has the president up by four. in colorado a new ppp poll has obama up by six. that's powerful, 51%, 45% in colorado. a four-point lead in north carolina. 49%, 45%. that's the poll that tends to lean republican. it's leaning democrat in this case. we'll be right back. >>> do you really think this will be going better if you'd nominated someone else? who? rick santorum? are you thinking you missed the boat with newt gingrich? if you think i'm unrelatable, check out...
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the latest fox news national polls shows president obama up a by 5 points. that's the fox news poll. the gallup daily tracking poll had been close. now gallup shows president obama up a by 6. even the quite ostentatiously republican leaning rasmussen poll gives president obama a 1-point lead nationally. in the states that matter, the obama campaign is ahead. things could change. we've got the debate starting n next week, there's long way to go, it's politics, anything could happen. but right now the obama campaign is solidly and consistently ahead. tactically what that means is the obama campaign has to convert being ahead in people's preferences to actual votes. since they are clearly ahead, a good time to get those votes cast is right now. because thanks to early voting, people are casting ballots right now. so this lead that they have now in the polls can be banked. it can be turned into actual votes while they're still ahead, even if they don't end up being this far ahead by election day. iowa became the first swing state in the nation where voters are a
the latest fox news national polls shows president obama up a by 5 points. that's the fox news poll. the gallup daily tracking poll had been close. now gallup shows president obama up a by 6. even the quite ostentatiously republican leaning rasmussen poll gives president obama a 1-point lead nationally. in the states that matter, the obama campaign is ahead. things could change. we've got the debate starting n next week, there's long way to go, it's politics, anything could happen. but right...
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tonight, obama campaign's senior adviser on mitt romney's fuzzy math. >>> devastating new poll numbers show mitt romney's secret video is crushing his campaign. >> i'll never convince them they should take personal responsibility. >> richard wolffe on how aggressive the president needs e to be on the 47% tape. >>> mitt romney's billionaire base is starting to lose their cool. >> we need leadership, not criticism. we need encouragement, not discouragement. >> e.j. deon on why billionaires who do so well under obama can't stand the president. >>> and democrats with a victory for voters in pennsylvania, but republican voter fraud is getting swept under the rug here in colorado. tonight the latest on the rnc's voter fraud scandal. >>> good to have you with us. thanks for watching. we're coming to you tr from denver, colorado. the first presidential debate one day away. this is the romney pre-game show. will mitt romney be held accountable for lies and distortions about president obama's record? we got a sneak preview of what happens when mitt romney is forced to tell the truth. a fox affil
tonight, obama campaign's senior adviser on mitt romney's fuzzy math. >>> devastating new poll numbers show mitt romney's secret video is crushing his campaign. >> i'll never convince them they should take personal responsibility. >> richard wolffe on how aggressive the president needs e to be on the 47% tape. >>> mitt romney's billionaire base is starting to lose their cool. >> we need leadership, not criticism. we need encouragement, not discouragement....
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beyond all of the polls and spin, this election is not about obama. it's about your mama and the stakes couldn't be higher. joining me now is robyn wright, former labor secretary and economic's professor and teresa, president and ceo of latino and an msnbc contributor. thank you both for being here tonight. >> thank you, reverend. >> senator reich, let me start with you. you've been writing an article about how skewed is. is the word getting out to voters? >> undoubtedly, the voters are getting a sense that romney is not on their side. it's not just the policies and tax plan that gives the rich a huge benefit, at the same time cutting most of the programs that are for the poor and middle class and medicare, medicaid, and so forth. but it's also side remarks. for example, the videotape of romney saying he doesn't care about or he's not worried about 47% of americans who are pampered and who are not taking responsibility for themselves. it's romney himself. i think in the debates romney has two big problems that he's got to try to overcome. one is mathe
beyond all of the polls and spin, this election is not about obama. it's about your mama and the stakes couldn't be higher. joining me now is robyn wright, former labor secretary and economic's professor and teresa, president and ceo of latino and an msnbc contributor. thank you both for being here tonight. >> thank you, reverend. >> senator reich, let me start with you. you've been writing an article about how skewed is. is the word getting out to voters? >> undoubtedly, the...
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they say the poll show obama leading by more than think he is. it's not they're saying the polls are wrong. when every national poll -- i don't think we can say -- when fox news' poll shows obama ahead in a bunch of swing states recently, i don't think we can say the polls are wrong and biased because fox news conservative leading. they show what the polls are showing as well. the president has a strong lead. pollsters have a strong incentive to have their polls be accurate, because that's what their profession is. i'm skeptical they're tries to missample people. the finding more democrats are anyway poll, when a democratic candidate is popular, more people call themselves democrats. that doesn't mean the poll is wrong. more people call themselves democrats than they might have been four or five weeks ago. >> let me bring in mark mckinnon. we'll bring you into this conversation. i want to start with something that newt gingrich said this morning on "morning joe." mark, let me play that. >> everybody i talk to agrees he's had two and a half very t
they say the poll show obama leading by more than think he is. it's not they're saying the polls are wrong. when every national poll -- i don't think we can say -- when fox news' poll shows obama ahead in a bunch of swing states recently, i don't think we can say the polls are wrong and biased because fox news conservative leading. they show what the polls are showing as well. the president has a strong lead. pollsters have a strong incentive to have their polls be accurate, because that's what...
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if romney would go ideological in explaining obama, it would help. >> a new political national poll of likely voters shows president obama leading mitt romney by 3 points. tonight nate silver fraufts that on november 6th president obama will within 309 elevotes. today paul ryan picked off the romney campaign's three day pus tour through ohio, where a new pole of ohio likely voters shows president obama leading by 5 points. no republican has won the presidency without winning ohio. mitt romney will join the ohio bus tour tomorrow. he and paul ryan will be then followed by the democratic national committee's own ohio bus tour which will stop in the same cities. the dnc's bus tour is called mitt romney writing off the middle class tour. joining me now from the dnc bus tour in columbus ohio, former ohio governor, ted strik land. and from new york, krystal ball. >> fewer americans are working today than when president obama took office. it doesn't have to be this way. if obama would stand up to china. obama had years to stand up to china. we can't afford four more. >> governor, your reactio
if romney would go ideological in explaining obama, it would help. >> a new political national poll of likely voters shows president obama leading mitt romney by 3 points. tonight nate silver fraufts that on november 6th president obama will within 309 elevotes. today paul ryan picked off the romney campaign's three day pus tour through ohio, where a new pole of ohio likely voters shows president obama leading by 5 points. no republican has won the presidency without winning ohio. mitt...
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street journal"/marist poll, president obama has a slight lead in nevada and north carolina but basically within the margin of error. and in virginia, a new poll from suffolk university/nbc 12 puts obama slightly ahead of romney, also within the margin of error. so, how can romney turn it around? it may not be easy. some people within this romney campaign have concluded he's not actually a very good politician. here's what one romney official explained to politico. he said -- now romney's former rival newt gingrich doesn't go quite that far, but he says that romney needs to reform his thinking. >> i think they're only now beginning to come to grips with the general election. they had a very -- >> scary -- >> they had a very successful primary strategy. in a primary you can raise enough money to build a motor boat and drive to where you want to get to in the primary. in the general election you're like a sail boat. the system is so much bigger than you. >> it is hard to go from a motor boat to a sail boat, known who is familiar with yachting knows that. ben smith, i want to go right to you
street journal"/marist poll, president obama has a slight lead in nevada and north carolina but basically within the margin of error. and in virginia, a new poll from suffolk university/nbc 12 puts obama slightly ahead of romney, also within the margin of error. so, how can romney turn it around? it may not be easy. some people within this romney campaign have concluded he's not actually a very good politician. here's what one romney official explained to politico. he said -- now romney's...
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. >> i want to ask you about the poll that has obama up by seven points. could the bogus ads be hurting him there because people know exactly what the president did on tires and tires being manufactured in ohio. >> i think so. the facts are difficult to deal with. romney will find once again his talk is not supported by facts and once again people are going to go this guy is just not straight. he is just note honest and those ads are incorrect and going to be proven and romney will be hurt by that more time on a long list of being incorrect and also flip flopping on issues. >> you are causing issues with the republicans and the super pac launched about a half million dollar ad by against you. how are you going to fight it? >> with the truth. we are going fight it with the facts that for many, many years i have fought the big boys. i took on the insurance industry and the insurance commissioner and we won. we protected people in california from the insurance industry. now they want medicare. they want to control the medicare dollars. no way, no how. >> john
. >> i want to ask you about the poll that has obama up by seven points. could the bogus ads be hurting him there because people know exactly what the president did on tires and tires being manufactured in ohio. >> i think so. the facts are difficult to deal with. romney will find once again his talk is not supported by facts and once again people are going to go this guy is just not straight. he is just note honest and those ads are incorrect and going to be proven and romney will...
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the latest ten-day poll average from "real clear politics" shows president obama with nearly a five-point lead. iowa voters were out in full force starting at 7:00 this morning. one election commissioner said this could be a record-breaking year. >> this was by far the busiest opening day we've had in the ten years i've been in the office. we were thinking 100 people. 100 would have been a good number. that's what it was four years ago. we're well past that. we're not to noon yet. >> look at the early voting numbers from 2008 to see how big a record breaker it could be this year. 2008, 33% of all ballots were cast before election day. early voting favored barack obama over john mccain by 18 points. 58% to 40%. this year, 27 states and washington, d.c., will have early in-person voting prior to election day. the campaigns are estimating an early voting participation at around 40% this year. two out of every five ballots will be filled out before november 6th in this election cycle. today is truly the beginning of the end of the presidential election. but one candidate is in much better pos
the latest ten-day poll average from "real clear politics" shows president obama with nearly a five-point lead. iowa voters were out in full force starting at 7:00 this morning. one election commissioner said this could be a record-breaking year. >> this was by far the busiest opening day we've had in the ten years i've been in the office. we were thinking 100 people. 100 would have been a good number. that's what it was four years ago. we're well past that. we're not to noon...
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the latest poll shows president obama and mitt romney locked in a tight race nationally. but where it counts, those battle ground states, the president still leads. and here's another interesting poll. most people think the president will win the first debate which may be why he's trying to lower expectations. >> i know folks in the media are speculating already on who's going to have the the zingers. governor romney is good. i'm just okay. >> and paul ryan played his own version. >> president obama is a gifted speaker. he's been on the national stage for many years. he's done these kinds of debates before. this is mitt's first time on this kind of a stage. >> but if all candidates are trying to lower expectations, maybe chris christie missed that memo. >> governor romney's going to lay out his vision for a better and greater america for greater opportunity for all of our citizens. and i think that's when you're going to see this race really start to tighten and move in governor romney's direction. come thursday morning, the entire narrative of this race is going to chang
the latest poll shows president obama and mitt romney locked in a tight race nationally. but where it counts, those battle ground states, the president still leads. and here's another interesting poll. most people think the president will win the first debate which may be why he's trying to lower expectations. >> i know folks in the media are speculating already on who's going to have the the zingers. governor romney is good. i'm just okay. >> and paul ryan played his own version....
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but one thing that hasn't changed, david, is that today in the gallup poll, obama's job approval is under 50. and job approval is the single best predictor of an incumbent president's ballot performance. i think that's number one. number two, i wouldn't hang too much on a single poll. remember on this day in 2000, al gore was ahead of george w. bush by two points. bush was leading him by about three points going into the last weekend. and went all the way to the supreme court. at this point in 1980, carter was leading reagan by four. there was a gallup with five days left that had him up by six. so i'm not particularizing this to chuck, but the pollsters and the press don't decide who shows up. the people who decide who shows up are the people knocking on doors, ringing door bells, making phone calls. and i think there's going to be a lot of surprises. >> but ed rendell, a lot of republicans like ralph like to go back to the reagan days. the difference is, as i have discussed this week with some pollsters, he was 20 points up after the convention. we had seen his ability to create wide sw
but one thing that hasn't changed, david, is that today in the gallup poll, obama's job approval is under 50. and job approval is the single best predictor of an incumbent president's ballot performance. i think that's number one. number two, i wouldn't hang too much on a single poll. remember on this day in 2000, al gore was ahead of george w. bush by two points. bush was leading him by about three points going into the last weekend. and went all the way to the supreme court. at this point in...
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obama has in the most recent polls? you have some enthusiastic people behind you tonight. but president obama has had a good lead in ohio and now it's been opened up in one poll by nine points. are you concerned about overconfidence? the columbus dispatch ohio poll has obama at 51% and romney at 42%. how crucial is early voting when you look at this this number? >> it's very crucial, ed. although i'm pleased the president is up by nine points. it's important folks come out to vote. the final count is when people cast their ballots and not necessarily by the polls. so we can't get overconfident. it's not over until it's over and that's november 6th. but we can start to vote early and start to show our support for president obama. we can show our support for our federal senator sherrod brown and show our support up and down the ticket here in ohio starting tomorrow at 8:00 a.m. and we are here to make sure that our president knows that we have his back, the same way he's had ours in the state of ohio. >> senator, why do y
obama has in the most recent polls? you have some enthusiastic people behind you tonight. but president obama has had a good lead in ohio and now it's been opened up in one poll by nine points. are you concerned about overconfidence? the columbus dispatch ohio poll has obama at 51% and romney at 42%. how crucial is early voting when you look at this this number? >> it's very crucial, ed. although i'm pleased the president is up by nine points. it's important folks come out to vote. the...
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. ♪ >>> 36 days away from the election and the polling shows president obama with only a small lead over mitt romney. let's go through a couple of them. it shows president obama, a tight race nationally, just a two-point edge over likely voters against mom. but it shoes him widening his lead against romney in key battleground. the president sitting at 49%. and the columbus dispatch poll, it's a poll unlike any other. it doesn't buy the old snail mail, but it has a pretty amazing track record. it has president obama up with a surprising nine-point lead among likely voters in the buckeye state. joining me now is a former spokesman for rick santorum. and also chief correspondent for "the washington post." dan. dan, i will begin with you. you guys have the poll of the day that show this split between where the race is nationally and where it is in the swing states. why do you think there's such a wide gap? that's a big gap. >> it is a big gap, chuck. the -- you know, the margin of error on that swing state sample is bigger. >> fair enough. >> and so that 11 points could be less than that. >>
. ♪ >>> 36 days away from the election and the polling shows president obama with only a small lead over mitt romney. let's go through a couple of them. it shows president obama, a tight race nationally, just a two-point edge over likely voters against mom. but it shoes him widening his lead against romney in key battleground. the president sitting at 49%. and the columbus dispatch poll, it's a poll unlike any other. it doesn't buy the old snail mail, but it has a pretty amazing...
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the same voters majority said i want to vote for obama anyway. and so wisconsin, he won it by 14 or 15 points some large margin in 2008. you can have the tide shift against you and have a big cushion there. >> wisconsin is this wonderful state, the state of robert, the great populist, joe mccarthy, not to draw connections between paul ryan and joe mccarthy and mitt romney. it was the recall that people didn't understand or feel was the right expression of protest against scott walker but the great occupation of the state house in support of workers, teachers, nurses, police, of wisconsin i think is going to play a role in this election where people came out to support a different kind of politics. >> i think we're reminding of the fairness of the american electorate, the fact they have more nuanced views than we ascribe them as having. in your book "the signal and the noise" you talk about the difference between hedgehogs, people who know one big thing and foxes, people who are more nuanced and know many things. i'm probably a hedge hog just decl
the same voters majority said i want to vote for obama anyway. and so wisconsin, he won it by 14 or 15 points some large margin in 2008. you can have the tide shift against you and have a big cushion there. >> wisconsin is this wonderful state, the state of robert, the great populist, joe mccarthy, not to draw connections between paul ryan and joe mccarthy and mitt romney. it was the recall that people didn't understand or feel was the right expression of protest against scott walker but...
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why is he losing in that state according to the new polls to president obama? >> for all the reasons he lost the two iowa caucuses. he's not offering the country a stark difference in terms of its governing vision compared to the president. in fact, the president's the one doing a better job of defining mitt romney as a conservative than mitt romney is. he's taking issues off the table and he's removing reasons for people to vote for him. i think that's why he's behind right now. >> let me play -- we said that congressman ryan is on the bus tour in iowa. want to play this moment from fox news where he appeared a little put off by the push from chris wallace, let me play it. >> you're the master of the budget, so briefly let's go through the plan. the obama camp says independent groups say if you cut those tax rates for everybody 20%, it costs $5 trillion over ten years. true? >> not in the least bit true. look, this just goes to show if you tore tour statistics enough they'll confess to what you want them to confess to. >> how much would it cost? >> it's revenu
why is he losing in that state according to the new polls to president obama? >> for all the reasons he lost the two iowa caucuses. he's not offering the country a stark difference in terms of its governing vision compared to the president. in fact, the president's the one doing a better job of defining mitt romney as a conservative than mitt romney is. he's taking issues off the table and he's removing reasons for people to vote for him. i think that's why he's behind right now. >>...
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recent polling showing president obama with a slight lead and early voting is under way. we'll continue to listen in and see if anything interesting pops up from these events and we'll bring it for you right more. >>> president obama is bringing the course of happy football fan ace cross the country as real refs of the nfl return to the field. last night the league ironed out a new eight-year collective bargaining agreement that leaves the guys in stripes with a sweet deal. white house press secretary jay carney saying president obama is very pleased and called this deal a great day for america. now, robinson care of nbc sports will talk with me about this. rob, what a difference 24 hours make. tell us about this deal and what do the refs get out of it? >> well, thomas, first of all, the refs get most of what they wanted. they are getting more money for starters. they're going to be making within a few years up to $200,000 a year for what is actually a part-time job. so pretty good deal for them. they also get to keep their pensions for the current refs. sunset the pensio
recent polling showing president obama with a slight lead and early voting is under way. we'll continue to listen in and see if anything interesting pops up from these events and we'll bring it for you right more. >>> president obama is bringing the course of happy football fan ace cross the country as real refs of the nfl return to the field. last night the league ironed out a new eight-year collective bargaining agreement that leaves the guys in stripes with a sweet deal. white house...
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president obama one of the best or rat fors in poll tics today, going through this exact stage, as the president debate approaches, he did this back in 2008, so i think both these guys are much better debaters than they're going to tell you over the next couple of days. i don't believe a lot of things coming out of the senior advisors mouths these days. >> i want to throw up quickly what the doctor advisor said to, what beth myers said to earlier. this was natural gifts and extensive seasoning under the bright lights of the debate stage, heralding president obama's talents at going this. i'm curious dana, do you think chris christie went off script earlier today, when he said, come thursday morning, we're going to be talking about the outstanding job that mitt rom y romney. he's supposed to be saying my guy has a speech impediment. >> here comes the comical that reed was talking about. he has to come out attacking and trying to dislodge obama. >> did he emerge from any one of them as a clear winner, dana? >> there wasn't any -- he was solid, but with a couple of exceptions, but in each
president obama one of the best or rat fors in poll tics today, going through this exact stage, as the president debate approaches, he did this back in 2008, so i think both these guys are much better debaters than they're going to tell you over the next couple of days. i don't believe a lot of things coming out of the senior advisors mouths these days. >> i want to throw up quickly what the doctor advisor said to, what beth myers said to earlier. this was natural gifts and extensive...
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if you look at the poll, the one area where you see consistent movement poll after poll after poll toward barack obama has been with senior citizens. you know as well as i do, they are a consistent voting block. they go to the polls in larger percentages. has the obama administration been successful at branding the medicare plan of the republicans as voucher care and are senior citizens moving away because they're afraid of the medicare changes? >> the ryan budget plan existed in terms of the 2010 election when republicans won 65 plus seniors by 21 points. part of the dynamic that exists here is, in fact, seniors are really unhappy with president obama's health care plan. what you see is this significant concern handling medicare, four years ago republicans would lose that by 25 points. now it's down in low single digits where republicans made significant progress. that is reflected in the medicare poll. >> why are senior citizens in the polls moving away from mitt romney toward barack obama. >> i guess i'm not seeing that in the survey the way you are. when i take a look at issue handlin
if you look at the poll, the one area where you see consistent movement poll after poll after poll toward barack obama has been with senior citizens. you know as well as i do, they are a consistent voting block. they go to the polls in larger percentages. has the obama administration been successful at branding the medicare plan of the republicans as voucher care and are senior citizens moving away because they're afraid of the medicare changes? >> the ryan budget plan existed in terms of...
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obama has pulled four points ahead in the average. this isn't stopping diehard republicans who say the mainstream polls have a liberal bias. look at dickmorse.com. even rick perry is jumping on on the bandwagon. he's plugs unskewed.com. it compiles existing polling data and meshes it with the rasmussen poll and voila, big leads for romney. if you look at the unskewed.com average it has romney leading by eight points. >> it's going to be a landslide. >> rasmussen has obama ahead by 4. i think quickly there are things to separate two different things here with theories they put out there. one is the peer con sear see side. there's a plot by the liberal media to undermine romney. >> which would never happen. >> when fox news polls are showing it, i don't know. the other thing is there's seeds of an argument about systemic bias in polls. they're getting it wrong because there's too few democrats and republicans. i've heard that from democrats in polls in 2004, the other way. i heard it from republicans in 2008, when obama was ahead, 2008
obama has pulled four points ahead in the average. this isn't stopping diehard republicans who say the mainstream polls have a liberal bias. look at dickmorse.com. even rick perry is jumping on on the bandwagon. he's plugs unskewed.com. it compiles existing polling data and meshes it with the rasmussen poll and voila, big leads for romney. if you look at the unskewed.com average it has romney leading by eight points. >> it's going to be a landslide. >> rasmussen has obama ahead by...
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new suffolk university poll showing president obama in virginia up by two points. also brand new nbc/"wall street journal" marist polling on three other swing states showing president obama in nevada up by two. showing president obama in new hampshire up by seven. and showing president obama in north carolina also up by two. because early voting has already started in a majority of swing states, and in a majority of states, period, it's not just a get excited cliche now to say election day is upon us. really,serious seriously. get excited. it's upon us. it's already started. you can tell it's already started is in part because we're in the triage period of the call pain. the time of the election year when people who are spending money in hopes of effecting the election's outcome start cutting their losses, ledgi hedging the and use their money instead in places they think it will make a difference. "the hill" newspaper reporting this week the republican party's house campaign committee had not yet reserved any ad time for a handful of incumbent republican congressm
new suffolk university poll showing president obama in virginia up by two points. also brand new nbc/"wall street journal" marist polling on three other swing states showing president obama in nevada up by two. showing president obama in new hampshire up by seven. and showing president obama in north carolina also up by two. because early voting has already started in a majority of swing states, and in a majority of states, period, it's not just a get excited cliche now to say...
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. >> i am polling people but do you vote for romney or obama? >> i thought you were registering voters a minute ago. >> i am, i am. >> and who are you registering? all voters? >> i'm actually trying to register people for a particular party because we're out here in support of romney actually. i am. >> and who is paying you for this? >> oh, the -- let me see, we're working for the county clerk's office. >> okay. you cannot come out here -- >> working for the county clerk's office. that means taxpayer dollars goes to that teen-age person to go out and register people who are going to vote for mitt romney. the fox affiliate confirmed the woman worked for the republican firm. this is what happens when republicans get their backs against the wall. they cheat. but i don't think they're going to get away with it. democrats and progressives are schooled up on the latest dirty tricks. eight years ago the republican voter fraud in florida may have gone unnoticed. today we know better. republicans can use lies and intimidation to try to win but no one is
. >> i am polling people but do you vote for romney or obama? >> i thought you were registering voters a minute ago. >> i am, i am. >> and who are you registering? all voters? >> i'm actually trying to register people for a particular party because we're out here in support of romney actually. i am. >> and who is paying you for this? >> oh, the -- let me see, we're working for the county clerk's office. >> okay. you cannot come out here --...
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the galup tracking poll shows obama up six points. it's pretty hard to survey the polling data and not come to the conclusion that barack obama is beating mitt romney, that if the election were held today barack obama would win and that romney has a relatively steep though certainly not insurmountable uphill climb to victory. that is if you operate in the alternate epi stem mick universe of the media. >> that begs the question, are these polls dishonest? >> no. look, we endo you them with a falls scientific precision. >> these polls, i don't pay attention to them. >> polling is very good at saying how you're going to vote. it's very bad at saying who's going to vote. >> these two polls today are designed to convince everybody this election is over. >> we should note that fox news's own polls have been pretty much in line with everyone else's, but it's not just observers making the claim the polls are rigged. the romney campaign itself is now getting in on the act. >> some of these polls have been called into question because they assu
the galup tracking poll shows obama up six points. it's pretty hard to survey the polling data and not come to the conclusion that barack obama is beating mitt romney, that if the election were held today barack obama would win and that romney has a relatively steep though certainly not insurmountable uphill climb to victory. that is if you operate in the alternate epi stem mick universe of the media. >> that begs the question, are these polls dishonest? >> no. look, we endo you...
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when they polled babies it's like insane how much -- >> if they could just vote. >> obama campaign should counter it -- i don't know if you've seen that photograph going around of the baby that is screaming as mitt romney is holding it trying to get back to the mother, google baby romney it's amazing. i don't know that it works with women because, again, when women look at romney's policies, the thing that drives them the most crazy about it is, shouldn't it be my choice to have access to birth control so i can economically plan for a family and be a responsible mom. this is really -- counter intuitive to getting women, i think. >> it's sort of strategically manages to avoid the question of legitimate rape, forced rape, paul ryan's positions on those matters and the choice on the economic situation of women in america. women have not recovered as quickly in terms of job gains due to large part that manufacturing and construction have come back first, not typically women heavy jobs. i guess the question is we've talked about why now, the romney campaign has sort of trotting out whether it'
when they polled babies it's like insane how much -- >> if they could just vote. >> obama campaign should counter it -- i don't know if you've seen that photograph going around of the baby that is screaming as mitt romney is holding it trying to get back to the mother, google baby romney it's amazing. i don't know that it works with women because, again, when women look at romney's policies, the thing that drives them the most crazy about it is, shouldn't it be my choice to have...
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now the latest polls somehow president obama erasing mitt romney's edge on that number one issue and actually leading in some polls who would better handle the economy. president obama is also using a new line. >> during campaign season you always hear a lot about patriotism. well, you know what? it's time for a new economic patriotism. an economic patriotism rooted in the belief that growing our economy begins with a strong and thriving middle class. >> joining any now "newsweek" columnist and cnbc contributor, zachary carabaugh. good friday, sir. economic patriotism is a new part of the lexicon here. >> it is a new part of the lexicon. it can mean just about anything. i don't mean to sound cynical about this. if you're for the president's economic policies, you're an economic patriot, and if you're against it, you're not. it's not a clear policy. it is a very catchy phrase. >> it is a very catchy phrase. in addition to being a centerpiece of a new ad, former ohio governor ted strickland used the phrase to take aim at romney in his democratic convention speech. take a look. >> mitt
now the latest polls somehow president obama erasing mitt romney's edge on that number one issue and actually leading in some polls who would better handle the economy. president obama is also using a new line. >> during campaign season you always hear a lot about patriotism. well, you know what? it's time for a new economic patriotism. an economic patriotism rooted in the belief that growing our economy begins with a strong and thriving middle class. >> joining any now...
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. >> obama voters showed up in full force today in iowa. the election has begun in the first swing state with early voting. and the
. >> obama voters showed up in full force today in iowa. the election has begun in the first swing state with early voting. and the
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that whites in rural america prefer iranian president mahmoud ahmadinejad to president obama. >>> and an iranian cameraman who went to the united nations in new york with president ahmadinejad has defected. he is seeking asylum in the united states. >>> japan was hit by a typhoon, which was strong enough to overturn vehicles on the island of okinawa. more than 140 people were injured and tens of thousands lost electrical power. >>> and a painting by renoir worth up to $100,000 was bought at a flea market for 7 bucks. an auction of the painting was stopped on saturday. a woman from virginia bought the landscape on the banks of the seine mostly for the frame. the painting was stolen from a museum in baltimore in 1951. it was worth $100,000. >>> and now here's your "first look" at this morning's dish of scrambled politics. mitt romney has an op-ed in the "wall street journal" on foreign policy. mr. romney says allowing iran to build a nuclear weapon is unacceptable. president obama also says the u.s. goal is preventing iran from having an atomic bomb. >>> paul ryan told fox news he and m
that whites in rural america prefer iranian president mahmoud ahmadinejad to president obama. >>> and an iranian cameraman who went to the united nations in new york with president ahmadinejad has defected. he is seeking asylum in the united states. >>> japan was hit by a typhoon, which was strong enough to overturn vehicles on the island of okinawa. more than 140 people were injured and tens of thousands lost electrical power. >>> and a painting by renoir worth up to...
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pay no attention to what you're seeing or what you're hearing, that obama is up. according to some on fox and elsewhere, the pollsters are all in the president aes back pocket and they can't be trusted, including fox's polls apparently. here is dick mars staggering even sean hannity on fox news this week. >> as he's at the moment in a very strong position. i believe if the election were held today, romney would win by four or five points. i believe he would carry florida, ohio, virginia. i believe he would carry nevada. i believe he would carry pennsylvania. >> oh, come on. >> pennsylvania, and i believe he would be competitive in michigan. people need to understand that the polling this year is the worst it's ever been because this is the first election where if i tell you who is going to vote, i can tell you how they're going to vote. the models these folks are using are vazy. they assume a democratic edge of six or seven points. >> we're all wrong in in business, we make mistakes. he's the only guy i know who knows he's wrong when he says this stuff, dick morri
pay no attention to what you're seeing or what you're hearing, that obama is up. according to some on fox and elsewhere, the pollsters are all in the president aes back pocket and they can't be trusted, including fox's polls apparently. here is dick mars staggering even sean hannity on fox news this week. >> as he's at the moment in a very strong position. i believe if the election were held today, romney would win by four or five points. i believe he would carry florida, ohio, virginia....
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meanwhile in ohio, a new poll showing president obama with a nine-point advantage over governor romney there. it's the fifth major poll taken in ohio this month that gives the president an edge of five points or more. meanwhile, the gallup poll has the president leading by five points nationally. meanwhile, massachusetts, that senate race, there's a new "boston globe" poll that shows the democratic challenger, elizabeth warren, ahead of republican senator scott brown by five points, 43 to 38%. but a full 18% in the state say they remain undecided. >>> the president left for vegas this morning. how he's looking to cash in. >>> and we've heard a lot of conservatives questioning whether the polls are skewed. are they oversampling democrats? there's been a lot of chatter about that over the past few days. r.a. melbourne is standing by to explain the truth behind the spin. that's coming up. you're watching msnbc, the place for politics. [ female announcer ] research suggests cell health plays a key role throughout our lives. one a day women's 50+ is a complete multivitamin designed for wome
meanwhile in ohio, a new poll showing president obama with a nine-point advantage over governor romney there. it's the fifth major poll taken in ohio this month that gives the president an edge of five points or more. meanwhile, the gallup poll has the president leading by five points nationally. meanwhile, massachusetts, that senate race, there's a new "boston globe" poll that shows the democratic challenger, elizabeth warren, ahead of republican senator scott brown by five points,...
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. >> from obama headquarters ben the thunder bolt labolt, thank you as always. >> after the break too little too late despite having months of alarming poll data the romney camp is seemingly only trying to play catch up with women and latino voters. ♪ [ male announcer ] you've reached the age where you don't back down from a challenge. this is the age of knowing how to make things happen. so, why let erectile dysfunction get in your way? talk to your doctor about viagra. 20 million men already have. ask your doctor if your heart is healthy enough for sex. do not take viagra if you take nitrates for chest pain; it may cause an unsafe drop in blood pressure. side effects include headache, flushing, upset stomach, and abnormal vision. to avoid long-term injury, seek immediate medical help for an erection lasting more than four hours. stop taking viagra and call your doctor right away if you experience a sudden decrease or loss in vision or hearing. this is the age of taking action. viagra. talk to your doctor. check out the latest collection of snacks from lean cuisine. creamy spinach
. >> from obama headquarters ben the thunder bolt labolt, thank you as always. >> after the break too little too late despite having months of alarming poll data the romney camp is seemingly only trying to play catch up with women and latino voters. ♪ [ male announcer ] you've reached the age where you don't back down from a challenge. this is the age of knowing how to make things happen. so, why let erectile dysfunction get in your way? talk to your doctor about viagra. 20...
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and he's -- about a month -- two weeks ago the polls were broadly for obama. now it's closing a bit because of the male part. white males tend to be republican voters and they're coming back to romney a little bit after a bit. in ohio they're not. seems as if in ohio the bain capital message has sunk in. virginia, florida, the white vote will go to romney. >> what struck you about that apparent contradiction in the polling? >> i think you saw a little bit of that bounce kind of come down after the post-convention. you're seeing it sort of return to a place where it was very tight. you saw aa shift among independents in florida, which is what made up a lot of that shift. the striking thing about all three polls is how few persuadable voters there are. that's what these debates are usually about but it may wind up be something to turn out the base and fire up some of their people. >> one of the issue, i put this to both of you, one of the problems with mitt romney's campaign, which has been critiqued by those on the left and right, his friends and enemies, is th
and he's -- about a month -- two weeks ago the polls were broadly for obama. now it's closing a bit because of the male part. white males tend to be republican voters and they're coming back to romney a little bit after a bit. in ohio they're not. seems as if in ohio the bain capital message has sunk in. virginia, florida, the white vote will go to romney. >> what struck you about that apparent contradiction in the polling? >> i think you saw a little bit of that bounce kind of come...